Bomb Damage Assessment. Israel Iran Conflict.

Comprehensive Report supplied by CergGroup

CERG GROUP

Phone: 0417474916

Email: tony@cerggroup.com

www.cerggroup.com

Detailed bomb damage assessment from the ongoing Iran–Israel conflict

Including number of buildings destroyed, economic estimates, and civilian impact

with an in depth analysis.

Damage in Iran

Military & Nuclear Targets

1. Natanz Enrichment Complex (Isfahan)

Damage: Above-ground buildings destroyed, centrifuge halls potentially crippled.

Estimated Economic Damage: $5–7 billion

Buildings affected: 25 structures (centrifuge halls, utility buildings, research

offices)

2. Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (Qom)

Damage: Limited; underground structure survived.

Estimated Damage: $1 billion (mostly surface infrastructure)

3. Isfahan Nuclear Research Center

Damage: Damage to reconversion and research sections.

Buildings affected: 8+

Economic Impact: $500 million+

4. Parchin Military Complex (Southeast Tehran)

Damage: Satellite confirms at least 6 large facilities destroyed (linked to

missile/R&D).

Casualties: Undisclosed number of military engineers and guards killed.

Economic Damage: $2 billion

5. Khomein and Bid Ganeh Missile Bases

Buildings destroyed: 12 (hangars, fuel storage, radar domes)

Economic Loss: $1–1.5 billion

Civilian Infrastructure & Energy

1. Nobonyad Square Residential Towers (Tehran)

Damage: One 14-floor apartment collapsed.

Casualties: 60+ (20 children)

Families displaced: Over 100

Reconstruction Cost: $25 millionCERG GROUP

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Date: 16 JUN 2025

2. Farda Motors Factory (Boroujerd)

Damage: Major automotive assembly line destroyed.

Jobs lost: 1,500 temporarily unemployed

Economic Damage: $200 million

3. South Pars Gas Field & Fajr-e Jam Refinery

Damage: Fire in compressor units and pipeline infrastructure.

Production loss: 18% daily output temporarily halted

Estimated Economic Loss: $4–6 billion in energy disruption

Civilian Casualties in Iran

Fatalities: 406 (per independent estimates), including ~197 civilians

Injuries: ~654

Buildings Destroyed (total): Estimated 150–180 structures, including:

40+ homes/apartment blocks

20+ industrial/energy facilities

70 military or dual-use facilities

Damage in Israel

Strategic & Military Targets

1. The Kirya (IDF HQ, Tel Aviv)

Damage: Moderate blast damage to surface buildings

Estimated Repair Cost: $300–400 million

2. Weizmann Institute (Rehovot)

Damage: Labs and tech centers affected

Buildings impacted: 3–5 structures

Economic Impact: $200+ million

3. Bazan Oil Refinery Complex (Haifa)

Damage: Large fire in oil storage and refining unit

Operational loss: Several days' halt in supply chain

Economic Impact: $700 million – $1 billion

Civilian Areas

1. Bat Yam: Missile strike on residential block

Casualties: 7 dead, 100+ injured

Buildings destroyed: 2 towersCERG GROUP

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Date: 16 JUN 2025

Reconstruction Cost: $40 million

2. Tamra: Two family homes obliterated

Casualties: Entire families killed

Damage: ~5 residential structures

Economic Loss: ~$10 million

3. Ramat Gan: Direct strike on residential zone

Buildings destroyed: 9

Damaged: 100+

Displaced families: 400+

Reconstruction Cost: $60–80 million

4. Rishon LeZion

Homes struck: 6

Fatalities: 3

Cost: $15 million

Civilian Impact in Israel

Fatalities: 14 (mostly civilian)

Injuries: 390+

Total Buildings Destroyed: 70–90, including:

40 homes/apartments

5–8 strategic/military buildings

10+ commercial/industrial targets

Total Estimated Economic Damage

Sector Iran Israel

Nuclear & Military $10–12 billion $1–2 billion

Civilian Infrastructure $2–3 billion $400–600 million

Energy $4–6 billion $700 million (Haifa refinery)

Total $17–21 billion $2.5–3.5 billionCERG GROUP

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Date: 16 JUN 2025

Analysis and Implications.

Escalation Risk

The current Iran–Israel conflict shows clear signs of escalation beyond traditional

military targets:

Strikes on Civilian Infrastructure:

Iran's missile attacks on Bat Yam, Tel Aviv, and Ramat Gan included residential

towers, schools, and hospitals. In one case, a school was hit during daytime hours,

causing panic though no casualties due to evacuation protocols.

Regional Involvement:

The conflict has raised alarms among neighboring countries. Hezbollah in Lebanon

and Iranian-backed militias in Syria and Iraq have issued warnings or conducted

symbolic rocket attacks on Israeli outposts, indicating a widening front.

US and Gulf States:

The U.S. has increased military readiness in the region, deploying Patriot missile

batteries to protect bases in Iraq, Qatar, and the UAE. Gulf states such as Saudi

Arabia and the UAE are reportedly reinforcing air defense systems, fearing spillover

from Israeli strikes near the Strait of Hormuz.

Cyber Warfare:

Alongside kinetic attacks, both nations have launched cyber offensives. Iran

reportedly disrupted part of Israel’s water infrastructure temporarily, while Israeli

cyber units targeted banking systems and communications hubs in Tehran and

Esfahan.

Economic Strain

Israel:

Energy & Logistics:

The targeted Israeli refinery outside Haifa operated at reduced capacity for three

days, leading to minor fuel shortages in northern districts and increased energy

prices across the grid.CERG GROUP

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Date: 16 JUN 2025

Consumer and Property Insurance:

With 2,500 claims filed and growing, insurance payouts could exceed NIS 250

million ($65 million), affecting the financial sector and increasing premiums

nationwide.

Tech Sector Impact:

Missile strikes near Tel Aviv's business district caused temporary shutdowns at

tech companies and financial institutions. Foreign investors are reportedly pausing

deals amid fears of prolonged instability.

Iran:

Oil and Gas Exports:

Israel's strike on the South Pars gas field—one of Iran’s largest—caused temporary

shutdowns that cut production by 20%. Exports to Iraq and Turkey dropped,

affecting national revenue.

Manufacturing and Trade:

Ports in Bandar Abbas and Bushehr reduced cargo handling capacity due to

nearby strikes. This disrupted domestic supply chains and delayed exports of non-

oil goods such as steel, cement, and petrochemicals.

Currency Devaluation:

The Iranian rial has lost 15% of its value against the U.S. dollar since the beginning

of the conflict, leading to inflationary pressures across food, medicine, and fuel.

Diplomatic Efforts

International Response:

The UN Security Council convened an emergency session on June 14, with most

nations calling for an immediate ceasefire. However, Russia and China blocked a

U.S.-backed resolution condemning Iranian strikes due to concerns over Israeli pre

emptive actions.CERG GROUP

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Date: 16 JUN 2025

Israeli & Iranian Stances:

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated on June 15 that "negotiations

are not an option while Iran continues to arm proxies and threaten our existence."

Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, called the Israeli strikes "acts of

war," demanding "regional unity against Zionist aggression."

Regional Mediators:

Qatar and Oman have offered to mediate, but neither side has accepted their

involvement as of now.

Humanitarian Concerns

Civilian Death Toll:

Over 420 Iranians and 14 Israelis have been killed, including dozens of children

and elderly civilians. Many more are injured or displaced due to direct attacks on

residential neighborhoods.

Displacement:

In Iran, tens of thousands fled urban areas like Shiraz and Tehran due to fears of

continued Israeli air raids.

In Israel, around 75,000 residents near the Gaza border and central districts

temporarily relocated to northern shelters.

Health Infrastructure:

In Tehran, a major hospital was damaged by a secondary blast near Nobonyad

Square, killing three staff and interrupting emergency care.

Israel’s Ichilov Hospital in Tel Aviv treated over 200 casualties in one day,

stretching its ICU capacity.

Humanitarian Aid Access:

The International Red Cross and Doctors Without Borders have requested

unimpeded access to impacted areas in both countries.

Iran has limited NGO access to military zones affected by Israeli strikes, citing national security.

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