Bomb Damage Assessment. Israel Iran Conflict.
Comprehensive Report supplied by CergGroup
CERG GROUP
Phone: 0417474916
Email: tony@cerggroup.com
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Detailed bomb damage assessment from the ongoing Iran–Israel conflict
Including number of buildings destroyed, economic estimates, and civilian impact
with an in depth analysis.
Damage in Iran
Military & Nuclear Targets
1. Natanz Enrichment Complex (Isfahan)
Damage: Above-ground buildings destroyed, centrifuge halls potentially crippled.
Estimated Economic Damage: $5–7 billion
Buildings affected: 25 structures (centrifuge halls, utility buildings, research
offices)
2. Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (Qom)
Damage: Limited; underground structure survived.
Estimated Damage: $1 billion (mostly surface infrastructure)
3. Isfahan Nuclear Research Center
Damage: Damage to reconversion and research sections.
Buildings affected: 8+
Economic Impact: $500 million+
4. Parchin Military Complex (Southeast Tehran)
Damage: Satellite confirms at least 6 large facilities destroyed (linked to
missile/R&D).
Casualties: Undisclosed number of military engineers and guards killed.
Economic Damage: $2 billion
5. Khomein and Bid Ganeh Missile Bases
Buildings destroyed: 12 (hangars, fuel storage, radar domes)
Economic Loss: $1–1.5 billion
Civilian Infrastructure & Energy
1. Nobonyad Square Residential Towers (Tehran)
Damage: One 14-floor apartment collapsed.
Casualties: 60+ (20 children)
Families displaced: Over 100
Reconstruction Cost: $25 millionCERG GROUP
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Date: 16 JUN 2025
2. Farda Motors Factory (Boroujerd)
Damage: Major automotive assembly line destroyed.
Jobs lost: 1,500 temporarily unemployed
Economic Damage: $200 million
3. South Pars Gas Field & Fajr-e Jam Refinery
Damage: Fire in compressor units and pipeline infrastructure.
Production loss: 18% daily output temporarily halted
Estimated Economic Loss: $4–6 billion in energy disruption
Civilian Casualties in Iran
Fatalities: 406 (per independent estimates), including ~197 civilians
Injuries: ~654
Buildings Destroyed (total): Estimated 150–180 structures, including:
40+ homes/apartment blocks
20+ industrial/energy facilities
70 military or dual-use facilities
Damage in Israel
Strategic & Military Targets
1. The Kirya (IDF HQ, Tel Aviv)
Damage: Moderate blast damage to surface buildings
Estimated Repair Cost: $300–400 million
2. Weizmann Institute (Rehovot)
Damage: Labs and tech centers affected
Buildings impacted: 3–5 structures
Economic Impact: $200+ million
3. Bazan Oil Refinery Complex (Haifa)
Damage: Large fire in oil storage and refining unit
Operational loss: Several days' halt in supply chain
Economic Impact: $700 million – $1 billion
Civilian Areas
1. Bat Yam: Missile strike on residential block
Casualties: 7 dead, 100+ injured
Buildings destroyed: 2 towersCERG GROUP
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Date: 16 JUN 2025
Reconstruction Cost: $40 million
2. Tamra: Two family homes obliterated
Casualties: Entire families killed
Damage: ~5 residential structures
Economic Loss: ~$10 million
3. Ramat Gan: Direct strike on residential zone
Buildings destroyed: 9
Damaged: 100+
Displaced families: 400+
Reconstruction Cost: $60–80 million
4. Rishon LeZion
Homes struck: 6
Fatalities: 3
Cost: $15 million
Civilian Impact in Israel
Fatalities: 14 (mostly civilian)
Injuries: 390+
Total Buildings Destroyed: 70–90, including:
40 homes/apartments
5–8 strategic/military buildings
10+ commercial/industrial targets
Total Estimated Economic Damage
Sector Iran Israel
Nuclear & Military $10–12 billion $1–2 billion
Civilian Infrastructure $2–3 billion $400–600 million
Energy $4–6 billion $700 million (Haifa refinery)
Total $17–21 billion $2.5–3.5 billionCERG GROUP
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Date: 16 JUN 2025
Analysis and Implications.
Escalation Risk
The current Iran–Israel conflict shows clear signs of escalation beyond traditional
military targets:
Strikes on Civilian Infrastructure:
Iran's missile attacks on Bat Yam, Tel Aviv, and Ramat Gan included residential
towers, schools, and hospitals. In one case, a school was hit during daytime hours,
causing panic though no casualties due to evacuation protocols.
Regional Involvement:
The conflict has raised alarms among neighboring countries. Hezbollah in Lebanon
and Iranian-backed militias in Syria and Iraq have issued warnings or conducted
symbolic rocket attacks on Israeli outposts, indicating a widening front.
US and Gulf States:
The U.S. has increased military readiness in the region, deploying Patriot missile
batteries to protect bases in Iraq, Qatar, and the UAE. Gulf states such as Saudi
Arabia and the UAE are reportedly reinforcing air defense systems, fearing spillover
from Israeli strikes near the Strait of Hormuz.
Cyber Warfare:
Alongside kinetic attacks, both nations have launched cyber offensives. Iran
reportedly disrupted part of Israel’s water infrastructure temporarily, while Israeli
cyber units targeted banking systems and communications hubs in Tehran and
Esfahan.
Economic Strain
Israel:
Energy & Logistics:
The targeted Israeli refinery outside Haifa operated at reduced capacity for three
days, leading to minor fuel shortages in northern districts and increased energy
prices across the grid.CERG GROUP
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Consumer and Property Insurance:
With 2,500 claims filed and growing, insurance payouts could exceed NIS 250
million ($65 million), affecting the financial sector and increasing premiums
nationwide.
Tech Sector Impact:
Missile strikes near Tel Aviv's business district caused temporary shutdowns at
tech companies and financial institutions. Foreign investors are reportedly pausing
deals amid fears of prolonged instability.
Iran:
Oil and Gas Exports:
Israel's strike on the South Pars gas field—one of Iran’s largest—caused temporary
shutdowns that cut production by 20%. Exports to Iraq and Turkey dropped,
affecting national revenue.
Manufacturing and Trade:
Ports in Bandar Abbas and Bushehr reduced cargo handling capacity due to
nearby strikes. This disrupted domestic supply chains and delayed exports of non-
oil goods such as steel, cement, and petrochemicals.
Currency Devaluation:
The Iranian rial has lost 15% of its value against the U.S. dollar since the beginning
of the conflict, leading to inflationary pressures across food, medicine, and fuel.
Diplomatic Efforts
International Response:
The UN Security Council convened an emergency session on June 14, with most
nations calling for an immediate ceasefire. However, Russia and China blocked a
U.S.-backed resolution condemning Iranian strikes due to concerns over Israeli pre
emptive actions.CERG GROUP
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Date: 16 JUN 2025
Israeli & Iranian Stances:
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated on June 15 that "negotiations
are not an option while Iran continues to arm proxies and threaten our existence."
Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, called the Israeli strikes "acts of
war," demanding "regional unity against Zionist aggression."
Regional Mediators:
Qatar and Oman have offered to mediate, but neither side has accepted their
involvement as of now.
Humanitarian Concerns
Civilian Death Toll:
Over 420 Iranians and 14 Israelis have been killed, including dozens of children
and elderly civilians. Many more are injured or displaced due to direct attacks on
residential neighborhoods.
Displacement:
In Iran, tens of thousands fled urban areas like Shiraz and Tehran due to fears of
continued Israeli air raids.
In Israel, around 75,000 residents near the Gaza border and central districts
temporarily relocated to northern shelters.
Health Infrastructure:
In Tehran, a major hospital was damaged by a secondary blast near Nobonyad
Square, killing three staff and interrupting emergency care.
Israel’s Ichilov Hospital in Tel Aviv treated over 200 casualties in one day,
stretching its ICU capacity.
Humanitarian Aid Access:
The International Red Cross and Doctors Without Borders have requested
unimpeded access to impacted areas in both countries.
Iran has limited NGO access to military zones affected by Israeli strikes, citing national security.